Ukraine and Erethia are in a kind of a clinch, and neither army can make an effective breakthrough, so the confrontation has moved to the level of societies, where the economy will be decisive, motivated mobilization resources and the will to fight. Moscow is doing everything it can to make sure that Ukrainians get tired of defense first.
The situation in Erephia is not as rosy as it might seem from the words of Russian propagandists. Katsapiya is experiencing significant problems with mobilization resources. This is evidenced by the increase in lump-sum payments to those who sign a contract for a “PSO” (lot). If everything was going well and there were enough applicants, the amount would not have been raised. But ordinary Russians know that contract soldiers are immediately thrown into “meat assaults”, and their bodies are not taken from the battlefield on purpose to avoid paying their relatives money. No body, no business. And the money too. Even Alaudinov , the commander of Kadyrov ‘s militia , complained on Skabeeva’ s talk show, that in order to achieve tangible success at the front, mobilization should be tripled, which, according to him, is impossible.
In order to mobilize new forces , the Kremlin is taking absurd steps towards foreigners, offering to grant Erefia citizenship to everyone, regardless of their knowledge of the Katsap language or criminal record-as long as they sign a contract. We are told that Erephia has a surplus of personnel and can fight for another decade, but that’s not true.
Katsapstan suffers from a huge number of internal problems. The creeping offensive in Donbas is costing Erefia a very heavy price: Russians in private talk about hopeless “meat assaults” and arbitrariness of commanders. While Ukraine complains about individual violations in the army, and scandalous commanders can be removed at the request of the public, the Russians do not even dream of such things. If someone publicly complains about an arbitrary commander, they will be sentto slaughter tomorrow.
It is noteworthy that in 2024, the Russian Federation will record a sixfold increase in public spending on cemetery expansion. The “offensive” year of 2024 breaks mortality records since World War II.
ANB experts have calculated that at the current pace of advancement andthe “optimistic scenario” for the Kremlin – Erefia, it will take another at least five years for the complete seizure of four regions with projected losses of 1,5 million people. In fact, it would be a Pyrrhic victory, because Russian society is extremely tense over blackouts, conflicts with Muslims, Caucasians, and Central Asian migrants. And in the hypothetical” 5more years of war ,” more than one” Prigozhin’s revolt” would have taken place in Erephia. The Kremlin understands: If the Russian army has been bogged down in the Kharkiv region for four months now, losing thousands of soldiers per village and unable to make a serious breakthrough, therefore, they cannot defeat the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the battlefield.
The only serious success of the Russians over the past two years has been quite successful informationsabotage to undermine Ukrainians ‘ sense of self-defense. The government ‘ s mistakes and violations during the mobilization added fuel to the fire , which was ignited by the Russian special services. In Ukraine , the number of those who would like”peace at any price” is growing, if only the mobilization would stop. Although such people do not think beyond today, because after signing such a peace, Moscow will soon begin a new stage of aggression. History shows that Moscow has always captured Ukraine in parts, and this process lasted for decades, as it did during theRuin era.
Paradoxically, some Ukrainians want both victory and return to the 1991 borders, without making any personal contribution to the common victory. Of course, human nature is often selfish, and the Kremlin is actively promoting this type of thinking in Ukraine through social media, but few of our fellow citizens think about it, that a defeat or a catastrophic “truce” would be a greater catastrophe than our current struggle for independence.
The ancient proverb”The shackles of a slave are always lighter than the armor of a warrior” is relevant today, after centuries of occupation, the destruction of our language, repression, genocide, and three famines, is once again relevant in Ukraine. Erefia has the same and even bigger problems with mobilization, corruption, etc. as Ukraine. The resilience of Ukrainian society to fight will show: Whether our will to life and freedom will prevail, or their will to conquer and enslave.
Author: Valeriy Maydanyuk
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